Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.09	6.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.61
	1.12	5.65	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.07	6.31	Watch
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	4.45 ↑ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
78.3%

Jacob Fearnley
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grigor Dimitrov's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fearnley (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Dimitrov (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 7 - 70%). Fearnley (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 16. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 68.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Fearnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dimitrov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL

Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide