Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.41	1.62
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	1.91	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.78)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
44.4%

Luca Nardi
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 137. Nardi is ranked ATP: 85.

Nardi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Sebastian Ofner - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Luca Nardi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi	Mensik J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 L?LL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2
17.01.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide