Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.19	1.61	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
42.2%

Matteo Gigante
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Edas Butvilas - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Butvilas (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 234. Gigante is ranked ATP: 140.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gigante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Butvilas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Robin Bertrand - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Matteo Gigante
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Patrick Kypson - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
18.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Edas Butvilas	2:1

Edas Butvilas - Matteo Gigante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide