Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Matteo Gigante		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.95	1.7	Watch
	2.02	1.81
	5.83	1.11	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (1.85)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
37.5%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Gigante's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 126. Tirante is ranked ATP: 135.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Patrick Kypson - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Borna Coric - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Lukas Klein - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	James Kent Trotter - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide