Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Elise Mertens		Jule Niemeier

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.71	2.14
	1.73	2.1
	1.85	2.07
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	2.11 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
54.8%

Jule Niemeier
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Jule Niemeier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jule Niemeier than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Elise Mertens - Jule Niemeier Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Niemeier will win (votes: 20 - 87%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niemeier: 73.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Madrid
27.04.23	Elise Mertens - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
04.04.23	Elise Mertens - Mirjam Bjorklund	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
27.03.23	Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Petra Martic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Elise Mertens - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Jule Niemeier
WTA Madrid
27.04.23	Jule Niemeier - Petra Kvitova	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Jule Niemeier - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
19.04.23	Jule Niemeier - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.23	Caty McNally - Jule Niemeier	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.23	Anna Blinkova - Jule Niemeier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

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