Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Denis Shapovalov		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.81
	2.18	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.13	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
45.1%

Fabian Marozsan
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Marozsan will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 39. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 42.

Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marozsan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
07.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
04.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WL??L

Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide