Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.45	1.61
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
43.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabian Marozsan's form might have worsened.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefanos Tsitsipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Fabian Marozsan - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 43. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 48.

Marozsan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tsitsipas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tsitsipas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marozsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
07.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
04.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L??LW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabian Marozsan	2:0

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