Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Fabio Fognini		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.49	1.34
	3.49	1.35
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.33	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.98)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
28.5%

Sebastian Baez
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Fabio Fognini - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Baez will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fognini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baez is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.24	Fabio Fognini - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Yusuf Qaed - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
18.01.24	Fabio Fognini - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
03.03.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Fabio Fognini	2:0

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