Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.41	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
42.6%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Agustin Gomez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefanos Sakellaridis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gomez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sakellaridis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 181. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 198.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakellaridis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Laurent Lokoli - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Skander Mansouri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Stefan Dostanic - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLW?
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

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