Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Federico Arnaboldi		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	2.85	1.35	Watch
	3.18	1.41
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.27)	1.36 ↑ (1.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
31.3%

Matteo Arnaldi
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Federico Arnaboldi - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 441. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 103.

Arnaboldi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arnaldi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arnaldi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaboldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Noah Lopez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Christian Garin - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.06.21	Federico Arnaboldi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1

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