Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Torella D. (Ita)


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	2.91	1.42
	3.27	1.36
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.56)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
29.8%

Luciano Darderi
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tirante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
06.04.24	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Marcos Giron - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW

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