Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3


	Luciano Darderi		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.91	1.46
	2.91	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.53)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
34.4%

Taylor Harry Fritz
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fritz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
06.04.24	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Marcos Giron - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Munich
21.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Christian Garin - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

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