Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Final

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Martineau		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.84	1.49
	2.71	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.45	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.28)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
35.3%

Luka Pavlovic
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matteo Martineau - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luka Pavlovic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 335. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 278.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pavlovic could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Pavlovic will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Matteo Martineau	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWW?
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Yi Zhou - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Yanki Erel - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	✺

Matteo Martineau - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide