Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Gabriel Diallo		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.57
	1.53	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
62.3%

Zizou Bergs
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Bergs will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bergs (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 35. Bergs is ranked ATP: 44.

In recent matches, Diallo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bergs is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diallo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Diallo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Zizou Bergs - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 40.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo	Goffin D. retired ✺
03.10.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Orel Kimhi	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WL?W
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
01.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
15.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.08.22	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	2:1

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