Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.24
	1.36	3.45
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.35
	1.36	3.27	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	3.31 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
71.2%

Karen Khachanov
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 4. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 50.

In recent matches, Aliassime-Auger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Khachanov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWW?
- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Karen Khachanov - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Karen Khachanov - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
19.06.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Montreal
08.08.19	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1

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