Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1


	Flavio Cobolli		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.54	1.34
	3.38	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
28.5%

Alex De Minaur
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Flavio Cobolli - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). De Minaur will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 31. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Cobolli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cobolli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
18.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.24	Jack Draper - Alex De Minaur	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Flavio Cobolli	3:0

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