Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.63	2.36
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
58.9%

Francesco Maestrelli
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 50%). Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 74. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 114.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Izyan Ahmad	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWL?
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Michael Mmoh	Canceled ✺
08.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW?L

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide