Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.93	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
52%

Stefano Napolitano
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Francesco Maestrelli aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Stefano Napolitano aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Maestrelli (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefano Napolitano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 25%). Napolitano (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 157. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 490.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Niels Visker - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Stefano Napolitano - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Marin Cilic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Stefano Napolitano - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Ziga Sesko - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano	2:0
ITF Tournaments
22.04.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano	2:1

Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide