Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Francesco Passaro		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.75	2.16
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
55.8%

Ignacio Buse
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Francesco Passaro - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Buse will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Buse (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 139. Buse is ranked ATP: 192.

Passaro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Passaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francesco Passaro	Passaro F. retired ✺
15.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWL?W
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Ignacio Buse - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Luca Castagnola - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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