Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francesco Passaro		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.25	1.61
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.09)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
41.7%

Matej Dodig
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Francesco Passaro - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 229., and Dodig is ranked ATP: 174..

Each of the two players has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dodig holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dodig in today's match, at odds of 1.61.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Passaro has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Jonas Forejtek - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matej Dodig - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Elmer Moller - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	2:0
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2

Francesco Passaro - Matej Dodig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide