Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marco Trungelliti		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.84	1.92	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.82	2.02
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.80	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
51.7%

Francesco Passaro
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marco Trungelliti - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 90., and Passaro is ranked ATP: 229..

Trungelliti has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Passaro is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Passaro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Jonas Forejtek - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
24.10.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alexander Ritschard	✺

Marco Trungelliti - Francesco Passaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide