Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Francesco Passaro		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.59	1.56
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
37.6%

Nuno Borges
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Francesco Passaro - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Borges will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Borges to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Francesco Passaro - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
06.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
02.05.24	Nuno Borges - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Nuno Borges - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

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