Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: VIENNA (AUSTRIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francis Tiafoe		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	2.02	1.88
	2.02	1.88
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
47.8%

Gael Monfils
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francis Tiafoe - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Monfils will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monfils in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	Evans D. retired ✺
ATP Tokyo
17.10.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LL?W
- Gael Monfils
ATP Vienna
25.10.23	Gael Monfils - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
22.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Laslo Djere - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Gael Monfils - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Filip Misolic - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
12.08.21	Gael Monfils - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.19	Gael Monfils - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
Exhibition World Tennis Challenge Men
09.01.18	Francis Tiafoe - Gael Monfils	Canceled

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