Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.54	2.43	Watch
	1.26	3.72	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.62 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
63.3%

Nuno Borges
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Borges is ranked ATP: 45.

Tiafoe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Borges's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Nuno Borges - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yibing Wu - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
27.04.22	Nuno Borges - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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