Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Terence Atmane		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.3	1.62
	2.45	1.53
	2.39	1.58
	2.5	1.58
	2.38	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.41	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.23)	1.56 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terence Atmane
39.3%

Francis Tiafoe
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Terence Atmane's performance.

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Terence Atmane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atmane will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Atmane is ranked ATP: 44. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 18.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atmane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atmane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terence Atmane
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Terence Atmane - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Terence Atmane - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Terence Atmane - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Houston
04.04.26	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
03.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Dallas
09.02.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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