Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.58	1.57
	2.39	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.49)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
38.9%

Francis Tiafoe
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 50%). Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Bautista-Agut (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 57. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 15.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bautista-Agut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Hamburg
19.05.25	Marcos Giron - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
14.08.19	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2

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