Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.51	Watch
	2.63	1.54
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.71)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
37.6%

Francis Tiafoe
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 73. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16.

Yunchaokete is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tiafoe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francesco Passaro	Passaro F. retired ✺
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LW?WW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLW?L

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