Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Francis Tiafoe		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.36	1.67
	2.4	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
41%

Jakub Mensik
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 20. Mensik is ranked ATP: 13.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mensik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Adam Walton - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	0:2

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