Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Martin Damm

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.12	6
	1.12	5.87	Watch
	1.12	7.31
	1.12	6.28	Watch
	1.12	6
	1.14	6.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.19)	6.33 ↑ (5.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
84.9%

Martin Damm
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francis Tiafoe - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 35.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Damm is ranked ATP: 431.

Now, both players are in good form.

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is the undeniable favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tiafoe F. retired ✺
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?WWL
- Martin Damm
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Martin Damm - Darwin Blanch	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Martin Damm - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL

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