Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	21:35	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:35	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:35	HBO Max
Croatia	21:35	HBO Max
Czech Republic	21:35	HBO Max
Denmark	21:35	HBO Max
Finland	22:35	HBO Max
France	21:35	HBO Max
Hungary	21:35	HBO Max
Moldova	22:35	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:35	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:35	HBO Max
North Macedonia	21:35	HBO Max
Norway	21:35	HBO Max
Poland	21:35	HBO Max
Romania	22:35	HBO Max
Serbia	21:35	HBO Max
Slovenia	21:35	HBO Max
Spain	21:35	HBO Max
Sweden	21:35	HBO Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.36	3.06
	1.37	3.36
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.39	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
68.9%

Jan-Lennard Struff
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Francis Tiafoe - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Struff will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Tiafoe (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Tiafoe (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Struff (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Struff is ranked ATP: 144.

Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tiafoe will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Martin Damm	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tiafoe F. retired ✺
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WW?WW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Taro Daniel - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Clement Chidekh - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
18.06.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francis Tiafoe	3:2
ATP Antwerp
17.10.19	Francis Tiafoe - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	✺

Francis Tiafoe - Jan-Lennard Struff