Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.41
	1.67	2.34
	1.52	2.54	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.38 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
59.9%

Zizou Bergs
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Bergs will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 5 - 50%). Bergs (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21. Bergs is ranked ATP: 44.

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bergs is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLW?
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
01.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?WLWL

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