Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	7	1.1	Watch
	5.75	1.13
	6.25	1.1	Watch
	7.7	1.12
	6.18	1.12	Watch
	7	1.1	Watch
	7.15	1.12	Watch
	6.25	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↑ (4.06)	1.11 ↓ (1.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
14.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
85.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Recent matches Dimitrov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcaraz Garfia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?L?
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Quentin Halys - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
28.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2
ATP London
23.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Madrid
30.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Paris
03.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0

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