Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Francisco Comesana		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.3
	3.65	1.34
	3.38	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.57	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.07)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
27.2%

Luciano Darderi
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 102. Darderi is ranked ATP: 17.

Comesana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comesana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 68.49%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Francisco Comesana	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
20.05.26	Francisco Comesana - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Valentin Royer - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Henry Bernet - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
15.05.26	Casper Ruud - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired
ATP Challenger
27.04.22	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Comesana	0:2

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