What is the expert prediction for Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 15, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 11
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Casper Ruud		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.35	Watch
	1.38	3.49
	1.35	3.33	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	3.35 ↑ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
71.3%

Luciano Darderi
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Darderi will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 34.6% – 73%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 50%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Ruud (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 3 - 75%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 25. Darderi is ranked ATP: 20.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, Ruud is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Roma
13.05.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Casper Ruud - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Casper Ruud - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Roma
13.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWL

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