Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Franco Roncadelli		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.19
	1.65	2.27
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.59	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
58.2%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Franco Roncadelli - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 366. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 675.

In recent matches, Roncadelli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aguilar Cardozo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Roncadelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roncadelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ignacio Carou - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.09.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide