Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Jannik Sinner		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.02	17	Watch
	1.02	13	Watch
	1.03	13	Watch
	1.05	13.79
	1.02	12.62	Watch
	1.01	21	Watch
			Watch
	1.01	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↑ (1.01)	15.2 ↓ (16)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
93.7%

Gabriel Diallo
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94.1%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jannik Sinner - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Diallo will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Diallo (1.84) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Diallo (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 2 - 40%). Diallo (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Diallo is ranked ATP: 35.

Sinner has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Diallo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sinner is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
13.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
11.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	3:0 ✺
07.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWW?
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Jannik Sinner - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide