Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.51	2.75
	1.41	2.91	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.47	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.76 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
65.5%

Jiri Lehecka
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiri Lehecka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Aliassime-Auger (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Lehecka (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 24.

Aliassime-Auger is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lehecka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lehecka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brussels
19.10.25	Jiri Lehecka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Madrid
03.05.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	Auger-Aliassime F. retired
ATP Australian Open
21.01.23	Jiri Lehecka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1

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