Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Gael Monfils		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.44
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.65	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
59.3%

Alexis Galarneau
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 3 - 60%). Galarneau (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Galarneau (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Galarneau (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gael Monfils will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Galarneau (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 148. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 219.

Galarneau is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monfils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monfils could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
17.12.25	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide