Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Catania 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.91	1.85
	1.86	1.83	Watch
	2.04	1.80
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
48.2%

Marvin Moeller
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Cadenasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gianluca Cadenasso - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 220., and Moeller is ranked ATP: 239..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Moeller may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Moeller in today's match, at odds of 1.72.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Marvin Moeller - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Filippo Moroni	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Vitaliy Sachko	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLW?
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

Gianluca Cadenasso - Marvin Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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