Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Thiago Monteiro		Pedro Boscardin Dias

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.99
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	2.86 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
67.3%

Pedro Boscardin Dias
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pedro Boscardin Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Boscardin Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Boscardin Dias will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 50%). Boscardin Dias (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Boscardin Dias (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boscardin Dias (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232. Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 258.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monteiro could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWLLW

Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide