Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Miguel Damas		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	3.15	1.4
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.58)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
32.6%

Thiago Monteiro
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 1 - 50%). Monteiro (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 278. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232.

Damas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monteiro is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Miguel Damas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

Miguel Damas - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide