Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Setubal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Giulio Perego		Diogo Morais

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.28	1.54	Watch
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.12	1.69
	2.09	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Perego
43.1%

Diogo Morais
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Perego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Diogo Morais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Perego than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Perego that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diogo Morais than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diogo Morais could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giulio Perego - Diogo Morais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perego is ranked ATP: 894., and Morais is ranked ATP: 1860..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Morais may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Perego
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Giulio Perego	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Giulio Perego - Jake Fellows	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Giulio Perego - Aradhya Kshitij	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Giulio Perego - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Giulio Perego - Arvid Nordquist	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW
- Diogo Morais
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Diogo Morais - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Diogo Morais - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Max Houkes - Diogo Morais	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Diogo Morais - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Yazid Lahjomri - Diogo Morais	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLW

Giulio Perego - Diogo Morais: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Giulio Perego - Diogo Morais Predictions

Preview

Form

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