Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.31	3.16	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.41	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
69.2%

Philip Sekulic
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sekulic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Sekulic (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sekulic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 111. Sekulic is ranked ATP: 521.

Barrios Vera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sekulic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrios Vera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Gima	Canceled
15.11.25	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Carlos Taberner - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWWW
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cruz Hewitt - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Emile Hudd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

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