Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Denis Shapovalov		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	5.3	1.14	Watch
	5.52	1.18
	4.69	1.18	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	5.55	1.15	Watch
	5.3	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.96)	1.16 ↓ (1.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
18.2%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

80.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 28. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Quentin Halys - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
02.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Denis Shapovalov	3:0

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