Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - Final

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Lichtenstein R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2, Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, Sport TV2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.3	3.6
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	4.26
	1.28	4	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.28	3.86	Watch
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	3.96 ↑ (3.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
75.8%

Francis Tiafoe
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Jannik Sinner - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Jannik Sinner will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 20.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sinner won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Jordan Thompson	Sinner J. walkover ✺
14.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?WL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	Hurkacz H. retired ✺
16.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
27.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	0:2
30.10.21	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	2:1
ATP Next Gen Finals
05.11.19	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	1:3
ATP Antwerp
18.10.19	Jannik Sinner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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