Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2


	Alejandro Tabilo		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.37	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.74)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
39.8%

Grigor Dimitrov
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tabilo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 9 - 31%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 69%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 32. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18.

Recent matches Tabilo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dimitrov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1

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