Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Hailey Baptiste		Kaitlin Quevedo

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	3.05
	1.44	2.78	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	2.83 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
66.2%

Kaitlin Quevedo
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hailey Baptiste's performance.

Kaitlin Quevedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaitlin Quevedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaitlin Quevedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Hailey Baptiste - Kaitlin Quevedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Quevedo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baptiste is ranked WTA: 32. Quevedo is ranked WTA: 140.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baptiste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baptiste will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baptiste won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Iryna Shymanovich	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Venus Williams	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Maja Chwalinska - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Veronika Erjavec - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Tamara Zidansek - Kaitlin Quevedo	Zidansek T. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0

Hailey Baptiste - Kaitlin Quevedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide