Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.09	1.75
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
45.3%

Harold Mayot
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mayot will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Gea will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 290. Mayot is ranked ATP: 184.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mayot could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Arthur Gea - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Arthur Gea - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Arthur Gea - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Harold Mayot - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Harold Mayot - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Harold Mayot - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	1:2

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