Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.7
	1.41	3.05
	1.01	12.04	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)	4.3 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
76.1%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Sanchez Jover might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henrique Rocha - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Rocha (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 169. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 351.

In recent matches, Rocha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sanchez Jover is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sanchez Jover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Orlando Luz - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Yibing Wu - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLW?W
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Breno Braga	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Estevez - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches