Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: Six Kings Slam (Saudi Arabia), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Italy	Super Tennis
Portugal	DAZN 1


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	3.75	1.26
	3.6	1.28
	4.01	1.22
	4.22	1.24	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.57)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
25.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

73.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 14. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Recent matches Rune is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rune won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Jiri Lehecka - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.24	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai
10.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
12.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:0
ATP Paris
04.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Alcaraz C. retired
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:0

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